Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 3.494992 4.031792 4.619960 5.311762 6.102734 6.978424 8.021025
2025-02-02 2.925614 3.673734 4.561080 5.689276 7.083692 8.748833 10.886516
2025-02-09 2.415970 3.267982 4.351019 5.824441 7.772330 10.254653 13.653496
2025-02-16 2.017003 2.916655 4.133340 5.891438 8.358506 11.687912 16.511925
2025-02-23 1.650988 2.537907 3.807179 5.744644 8.614236 12.692150 18.908588
2025-03-02 1.339778 2.179287 3.445029 5.476918 8.638717 13.348339 20.866666
2025-03-09 1.163607 1.992734 3.303462 5.505757 9.088815 14.656394 23.919323
2025-03-16 0.988108 1.776725 3.080458 5.367127 9.246235 15.516888 26.359435
2025-03-23 0.921705 1.731857 3.126224 5.667988 10.144116 17.639528 31.051874
2025-03-30 0.845440 1.656675 3.107497 5.850818 10.856043 19.521203 35.535816
2025-04-06 0.755957 1.542804 3.003139 5.863676 11.263467 20.914879 39.312069
2025-04-13 0.641498 1.363296 2.753148 5.572565 11.076822 21.229367 41.179094
2025-04-20 0.599647 1.324828 2.771290 5.805271 11.921290 23.544489 47.051934
2025-04-27 0.578445 1.326022 2.867826 6.205665 13.140755 26.696589 54.865208
2025-05-04 0.533548 1.269419 2.838932 6.346253 13.857306 28.957109 61.192167
2025-05-11 0.487568 1.203082 2.780181 6.415303 14.432859 30.996819 67.295252
2025-05-18 0.429407 1.099234 2.625288 6.253866 14.496743 31.997059 71.361983
2025-05-25 0.370106 0.982738 2.425123 5.962155 14.235108 32.278406 73.922167
2025-06-01 0.339104 0.931257 2.368161 5.992779 14.700006 34.162663 80.147388
2025-06-08 0.300993 0.855322 2.242196 5.841979 14.725507 35.079053 84.314181
2025-06-15 0.292768 0.857253 2.307841 6.168165 15.920941 38.751871 95.121252
2025-06-22 0.278271 0.839752 2.321939 6.366354 16.827188 41.847635 104.896934
2025-06-29 0.256401 0.797962 2.267313 6.380221 17.275295 43.908642 112.424427